Quarterly Journal of Political
Research in Islamic World

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The "deal of the century" was the Trump administration's most important policy on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, and there are important questions about it: What are the features of this plan? Can the Century Deal Plan Resolve the Longest Contemporary Controversy in the Middle East? In this article, relying on "futures research" and scenario planning method, the most probable scenario for the transaction plan of the century is examined. The hypothesis of the article is that "the deal of the century is doomed to failure due to the lack of understanding of the nature of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, ignoring the basic concerns of the Palestinians and creating a state without sovereignty for them." The Century Deal has no potential for centralizing peace negotiations, but it should be noted that the most important goal of the plan is to legitimize the status quo in the occupied territories. However, the most probable scenario is the escalation of Israel's illegitimate actions to annex territories, settlements, increase consultations with conservative Arab countries with the aim of increasing pressure on the Palestinians and de-ruling the Palestinian Authority.

Keywords: Middle East, Palestine, Peace, the Plan of Great Israel, The Century Deal

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